Explained: no, the online British exit from the EU? What does this mean for Ireland and the UK

  • Explained: no, the online British exit from the EU? What does this mean for Ireland and the UK
    Independent.t. E.
    Ireland is the most affected country in Europe in case of no-Internet, a quarter or a month with fears over the economy and potential job losses.
    https://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/explained-a-nodeal-brexit-what-it-might-mean-for-ireland-and-britain-37194261.html
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Ireland is the most affected country in Europe in case of no-Internet, a quarter or a month with fears over the economy and potential job losses.

Although all parties to the negotiations the UK out of the EU say that they want to avoid rigid boundaries in Ireland, it remains to be seen how this will be done.

No matter how online British exit from the EU will affect Ireland?

The impact of the UK crashing out of the European Union without a deal could be disastrous for the Irish economy. In recent weeks the international monetary Fund (IMF) has warned of 50,000 job losses and a fall of 4pc in the economic results. Ireland is the most affected country in Europe, except the UK.

Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe said, there is a potential 40,000 job losses in the non-Internet, a quarter or a month. He told the house of representatives: “sectors with export ties to the UK such as agriculture and food, trade and tourism, will be especially exposed, particularly at the regional level”.

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What about the border?

All of the parties in negotiating the British exit from the EU said that they want to avoid rigid boundaries in Ireland to protect the peace process and ensure smooth trade in the island.

But the question is how this will be done, in particular, in the case of no deal. The Irish government said in December that he received a “cast-iron” commitment to the UK in December ‘reverse’, which would avoid the border posts, even if Internet sharing between Britain and the EU did not materialize.

Neighbor will require regulatory alignment on both sides of the Irish border to ensure a smooth trade of the island. This commitment has looked shaky and will be the center of attention during the negotiations, the British exit from the EU in the coming weeks. Theresa may last month reiterated that the British government in opposition to the ‘backstop’ that would effectively see the trade of the border along the Irish sea under the no-Internet, a quarter or a month.

In his speech in Belfast, she reiterated her goal is to avoid rigid boundaries on the island of Ireland to achieve the total withdrawal of the UK from the EU Association agreement with the European Union. EU negotiator for the UK out of the EU, Michel Barnier last week adopted a conciliatory tone towards England, when he signaled a willingness to be flexible in the negotiations around Irish border. However, he also warned the UK that the decision support is needed to bring agreement. The EU sources insisted that the legend, to prevent a hard border.

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What is a threat to the agrifood sector here?

A large part of Irish agricultural products, particularly dairy and beef – gets exported to the UK.

The EU report last year predicted that in the worst case scenario of a British exit from the EU would cost the agri-food sector a staggering €5.5 billion in export losses.

A study of the European Parliament’s Committee on agriculture and rural development, said that the expected impact on Ireland “, in particular, about” the Irish agri-food sector “depends heavily on trade with great Britain.”

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What plans of action in case of emergencies, the Irish government putting place for leaving the UK?

The European Commission has warned member States to prepare for possible hard leaving the UK. The document sent to the government last month, outlines how the EU hopes to reach agreement with the UK, but also recognizes that negotiations will be derailed. Ireland Leo Varadkar announced details of the contingency plans the government after a special Cabinet meeting in Kerry. He said: “key decisions are, inter alia, in the areas where the government has direct responsibility, as well as on the measures to be taken to the East-the West, for example, customs and veterinary controls at ports and airports.”

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According to him, the government also reiterated that he “will not tolerate the return of the border on the island under any circumstances, including in the case of hard British exit from the EU.” In a statement the government said that today more than €450 million has been allocated to business support in the UK. Among the ads, there are about 1,000 new customs and veterinary inspectors by 2021. Infrastructure will be upgraded to Dublin and Rosslare port, which will require “significant investment.”

The Irish independent Today reports that the new post-British exit from EU-delivery route will see Ireland is connected to Europe via the Netherlands and Belgium in the framework of the EU plans. The reorganization of the EU strategic transport corridor is part of an effort to enable Irish trade with the intent to evade UK customs checks after leaving the UK and finding alternatives to land bridge over Britain.

What about the UK? What happens if the UK and the EU will not agree to a deal?

The UK is a member of the world trade organization, tariffs and other conditions to its trade with the EU will be established in accordance with WTO rules.

EU tariffs are quite low, averaging about 5%, but they are above for some important British exports, including vehicles that would face a 10% tariff. Exporters may face other barriers, including in accordance with EU standards for goods such as food products and electrical products. British exports may be stuck at the EU border.

Many British firms, especially the giant in the financial industry is likely to face more restrictions on doing business in the region than on preference deal in may. In accordance with WTO rules by the UK and the EU are unable to offer each other low tariffs, quick border control, or the close cooperation in the area of services, if they offer it to all States members of the WTO.

What’s the downside of a No-Internet-leaving the UK for the UK?

Most economists say the higher the barriers to trade with the EU, the more hit for the UK.

The national Institute of economic and social research says there is no Internet British exit from the EU would cost each person in England of GBP 800 ($1,030) a year more than the effect of “soft British exit from the EU”, according to which Britain had ties with the EU similar to Norway. The plan is probably going to cost £ 500 per person per year more than the soft output of the UK. The impact on the UK economy could be even greater if business investment falls, aggravating the slow growth of labor productivity or a decrease in migration causes labour shortages.

What are the benefits?

Supporters leaving the UK claim that WTO rules will help the UK economy, making it easier in London to put their trade deals with fast-growing countries and regions outside Europe. However, it will take years and the UK can struggle to provide an enabling environment such as the US and China.

Ruth Lea, a professional economist at the British exit from the EU, said that concerns about delays at the border were inflated because countries outside the EU, as a rule, declare export online to expedite their passage. Outlet UK supporters also say Britain could save it is estimated that the divorce bill of the EU in the amount of about 39 billion pounds to spend and not on utilities.

Will not an online outlet UK chaos in Britain?

With less than eight months before the UK will leave the EU, there is little time to conclude an agreement or to prepare both sides for the possibility of no deal any disorderly exit from the EU UK the risks of border delays, as officials wrestle with the sudden introduction of new customs regulations. The UK government is developing plans for the establishment of stockpiles of medications and blood products before a possible no-Internet, a quarter or a month.

In the worst case, Britain falls out of the EU mechanisms, such as the US and EU aviation agreement for open skies, perhaps, causing traffic chaos. The trade derivatives will face legal uncertainty. EU citizens in Britain and British citizens in the EU at risk of losing residency and other rights. Given the potential for disruptions, the EU could offer to extend the term of negotiating the British exit from the EU if there was some prospect of the deal, Malcolm Barr, economist at JP Morgan, said. “The EU knows that without the Internet-leaving the UK would hurt all involved and would be extremely difficult management problems”, – he said.

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